GuilhermeFasolin

Climate Change and the Shadow of the Future

With Sofia Berrespi and Jim Bisbee.

Overview

 

Young people are the ones closer to experiencing these imminent consequences. Despite this, age has been overlooked as a significant explanatory variable in the literature on climate change opinions. This article seeks to fill this gap. We synthesize different studies across psychology, social sciences, and biology to generate three versions of a standard rational actor model of a future-discounting agent whose shadow of the future is endogenous to their age. We then evaluate our expectations using data from the Climate Change in the American Mind survey spanning from 2008 to 2022, encompassing responses from over 30,000 participants. Our descriptive results mainly suggest a negative relationship between age and concern, but we also find evidence of a curvilinear relationship.

We disentangle age and cohort effects and find no significant cohort effects. In addition, we provide evidence regarding risk perceptions and the role of the information environment. Older participants exhibit heightened concern for the harm climate change may cause them personally compared to the harm it may have on the United States, developing nations, or future generations. They also anticipate climate-related harm to manifest sooner than younger participants. Finally, we find that younger individuals are not inherently more informed about climate change and that self-reported media exposure increases with age. While merely descriptive, our findings suggest scholars of climate change and policy-makers should consider age as an important variable in explaining climate change public opinion.

 

My Work

Selected Research

My research has been published or is forthcoming in Global Environmental Politics and Journal of Global Security Studies, and other journals.

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article

Determinants of Climate Change Risk Perception in Latin America

Climate change risk perceptions are subjective constructs that individuals use to interpret the potential harms of climate change and influence their engagement in mitigation and adaptation efforts. While research in high-income Western countries has identified cognitive processes, socio-cultural factors, and…

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Colorful buildings along the shore in Latin America Read more

article

Beyond Jobs: Individual Attitudes Toward Foreign Direct Investment

We find that investing firms’ corrupt and environmentally damaging behavior significantly reduces public support for FDI. Recent scholarship shows that public attitudes toward foreign direct investment (FDI) are shaped by non-economic factors such as ethnocentrism, nationalism, and foreign threat perceptions. However,…

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Currency Read more

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Climate Change Beliefs and their Correlates in Latin America

The ability of climate skeptics to block climate action depends on prevailing beliefs among the public. Research in advanced democracies has shown skepticism about the existence, the causes, and the consequences of climate change to be associated with socio-demographic features and political ideology. Yet, little is…

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A river boat on the Amazon Read more

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Nationalist Backlash Against Foreign Climate Shaming

Should international pro-climate actors speak up against climate rogues, or do foreign critics risk igniting nationalist backlash against global environmental norms and institutions? We explore naming and shaming dynamics in global climate politics by fielding survey experiments to nationally representative samples in…

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If you are interested in knowing more about any of my projects or think we have similar interests, please feel free to contact me.

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